No, not that Oscar.
So what do Vegas odds makers have to say about the Oscars? From what I can tell this is the year of the “Sure Thing.”
You have to go way down the Oscar ladder to Best Foreign Language Film to find anything close to a race where Biutiful has a slim lead over other entries in that category with only a 45% chance of winning.
On the other hand, this could be the night of the Long Shot.
The bookies did say the kid who won the Daytona 500 was a 225-1 shot. So maybe the stars can align for an improbable upset in the Kodak Theater and prove that nothing is impossible.
According to the folks at Intrade, here are the Oscar odds:
Best Picture: The King’s Speech (81%)
Best Actor: Colin Firth – The King’s Speech (95%)
Best Actress: Natalie Portman – The Black Swan (88%)
Best Supporting Actor: Christian Bale – The Fighter (90%)
Best Supporting Actress: Melissa Leo – The Fighter (69%)
Best Director: David Fincher – Social Network (63%)
I have only seen one of the movies in the prime areas of the awards this year — The Coen Brother’s, True Grit. My sentimental wish is for young Hailee Steinfeld with her breathtaking portrayl of Mattie Ross, the stubborn young woman chasing her father’s killer in the Indian territories of Oklahoma. She’s one of the long shots sitting in second place at 30%.
This year’s recipient of the Irving G. Thalberg Memorial Award is award winning director, Francis Ford Coppola.
I am looking forward to the 83rd Oscars coming this Sunday night on ABC, with extras all evening at http://oscar.go.com/